Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.099562 0.154149 0.218719 0.298158 0.391060 0.494429 0.616443
2026-01-04 0.036877 0.097815 0.186845 0.311695 0.471634 0.661655 0.897567
2026-01-11 0.017970 0.079443 0.184984 0.345053 0.560003 0.823345 1.157564
2026-01-18 0.006775 0.063274 0.179750 0.369664 0.634937 0.967890 1.397556
2026-01-25 0.000753 0.044661 0.162996 0.372648 0.677728 1.069875 1.584023
2026-02-01 NaN 0.023376 0.130478 0.344965 0.674177 1.109865 1.691896
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008496 0.097935 0.309213 0.653866 1.124332 1.764925
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002924 0.082027 0.297938 0.666366 1.180175 1.888754
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001033 0.076168 0.304040 0.704277 1.269827 2.055737
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000044 0.066782 0.300750 0.726473 1.337409 2.193905
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.052922 0.284040 0.725410 1.371680 2.287932
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.056949 0.309529 0.793498 1.503101 2.509888
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.060534 0.335564 0.865292 1.643609 2.749152
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.059153 0.349271 0.917267 1.757240 2.954586
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.066266 0.384892 1.006078 1.923185 3.229304
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.069642 0.410929 1.078984 2.066863 3.474990
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.064478 0.414101 1.113193 2.155549 3.647977
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.048720 0.384759 1.090360 2.161809 3.710835
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.032686 0.346777 1.049123 2.139446 3.733870
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.025853 0.334772 1.052523 2.181021 3.841924
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.024161 0.341271 1.089725 2.272479 4.017660
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.020362 0.337767 1.107888 2.335517 4.154751
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.014220 0.319959 1.097832 2.355789 4.233129